PART-3a: The Categories of Legitimate Reservation (1)  [41 slides]

  • The “Rules of the Game”

  • The Importance of Clear Communication

  • Category 1: Clarity

    • Examples

    • Test for Clarity

  • Category 2: Entity Existence

    • Examples

    • Test for Entity Existence

  • Category 3: Causality Existence

    • Examples

    • Correlation Versus Cause-and-Effect

    • Examples

    • Statistical Correlations

    • Test for Causality Existence

  • Raising Reservations: What Order?

  • Exercises

PART-3b: The Categories of Legitimate Reservation (2)  [44 slides]

  • Category-4: Cause Insufficiency

    • Example: “We have a fire!”

    • The Concept of “Oxygen” in Logic Trees

    • How Many Contributing Causes?

    • Variations of Multiple Dependent Causes

    • A Proposed “Rule of Thumb”

    • Test for Cause Sufficiency

  • Category-5: Additional Cause

    • Realistic Versus Probable

    • Examples

    • Test for Additional Cause

  • Complex Causality (Magnitudinal “AND”)

  • Category-6: Cause-Effect Reversal

    • Examples

    • Test for Cause-Effect Reversal

  • Category-7: Predicted Effect Existence

    • Examples

    • Test for Predicted Effect Existence

  • Category-8: Tautology

    • Examples

    • Test for Tautology

  • Raising Reservations: Review

  • Example: The Buffalo Theory

  • Exercises

  • The “Final Exam”