Content

PART-3a: The Categories of Legitimate Reservation (1)  [41 slides]

• The “Rules of the Game”

• The Importance of Clear Communication

• Category 1: Clarity

  • Examples

  • Test for Clarity

• Category 2: Entity Existence

  • Examples

  • Test for Entity Existence

• Category 3: Causality Existence

  • Examples

  • Correlation Versus Cause-and-Effect

  • Examples

  • Statistical Correlations

  • Test for Causality Existence

• Raising Reservations: What Order?

• Exercises

PART-3b: The Categories of Legitimate Reservation (2)  [44 slides]

• Category-4: Cause Insufficiency

  • Example: “We have a fire!”

  • The Concept of “Oxygen” in Logic Trees

  • How Many Contributing Causes?

  • Variations of Multiple Dependent Causes

  • A Proposed “Rule of Thumb”

  • Test for Cause Sufficiency

• Category-5: Additional Cause

  • Realistic Versus Probable

  • Examples

  • Test for Additional Cause

• Complex Causality (Magnitudinal “AND”)

• Category-6: Cause-Effect Reversal

  • Examples

  • Test for Cause-Effect Reversal

• Category-7: Predicted Effect Existence

  • Examples

  • Test for Predicted Effect Existence

• Category-8: Tautology

  • Examples

  • Test for Tautology

• Raising Reservations: Review

• Example: The Buffalo Theory

• Exercises

• The “Final Exam”